Thursday, April 11, 2013

Cooler Weather For Next Few Days

The recent warm weather has retreated south where it will stay for the weekend.  Temperatures will be 10-20 degrees below average the next few days.  A cold rain will overspread New England tomorrow afternoon and last into the evening.  Conditions slowly improve Saturday and by Sunday the sun will be out and temperatures will be in the mid to upper 50's.

Current Conditions/Short Range Forecast
WPC surface analysis
The stationary boundary has moved south of New England but temperatures have not responded yet  Waves of low pressure continue to move along the front.
2 m temps 5 am (image weatherbell)
The radar is quiet for Southern New England but there is action to the west in PA (weakening) and Western NY
NWS Northeast Regional Radar 608 am
While I cannot rule out a pop up shower or isolated thunder this afternoon, the best chance for precipitation is after 8 PM tonight.  Temperatures will only be in the low 50's this afternoon
09z RAP 2 m temp 3 PM (image weatherbell)
Meanwhile down in the DC area it will be 90.  That is a significant temperature gradient along the east coast.  By 8 PM tonight the surface chart is expected to look like this
WPC 8 PM Tonight forecast
The stationary boundary will drop even further down the coast.  The temperature at midnight is the likely the high temperature for the day tomorrow.  
06z NAM hires 2 m temps 12 AM tonight (image weatherbell)
A storm that has produced record snow in SD and tornadoes in MO, AR will be moving into New England tomorrow.  Here is the storm on satellite this morning
GOES_East Water Vapor Satellite 545 am (NHC)
By tomorrow morning this is what the surface should look like
WPC surface forecast Friday 8 am
Here is what the EURO thinks for tomorrow afternoon
00z EURO precip Friday 2 PM (image weatherbell)
Temperatures tomorrow afternoon will be in the mid to upper 30's.  The 3 day precipitation forecast
WPC 3 day precipitation totals
Finally for portions of Central and Northern New England Winter Weather Advisories are up
Winter Wx Advisories in NH, ME (NWS)


Saturday- overcast start, clearing.  High 52-56
Sunday- Mostly Sunny, High 54-58
Patriots Day- Mostly Sunny, high 57-61

I ran out of time this morning, so the weekend outlook is pushed off.  No serious issues tho, a fairly normal albeit cool mid April weekend.  Good luck to the Umass Lowell Riverhawks in the Frozen Four tonight.









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