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Showing posts from August, 2016

Lots of Weather to Talk About

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As of 5 AM this morning there is a Hurricane Warning for the Big Island of Hawaii and a Hurricane Watch for portions of Florida.  Meanwhile Hurricane Gaston is a still a major Category 3 Hurricane in the open Atlantic and Tropical Depression 8 is pushing south and east of New England.  I'll get to all the tropical mischief in a moment but first lets touch on the Southern New England forecast.

General Overview
High pressure is set to move offshore today as a cold front approaches from the west.  This will being a return of the humidity this afternoon and will also increase rain chances tonight and Thursday.  The front will also help kick TD 8 out to sea and pull TD 9 (or likely Hermiine) Northeast into the Big Bend of Florida.  Here is the water vapor satellite loop from this morning
Gaston is racing away on the far right while TD 8 is the thunderstorm complex off the NC Outer Banks and TD 9 is the thunderstorm mass in the Gulf.  The front is the clouds and moisture Missouri, Illino…

The Weekly Weather Take 8/28/2016

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Five years ago this morning power went out for many in Southern New England as Tropical Storm Irene moved up the east coast and into New England.  Irene brought devastating floods to Vermont and upstate New York as well as lots of wind damage to Southern New England.  The power would not be restored for 4-5 days for many.  Although Irene was a tropical storm its low central pressure and large wind field created widespread problems.  For me it remains one of the most memorable storms I have ever covered for this blog.

August 20, 2011- Irene forms
August 21, 2011- Irene moves by Puerto Rico and I make my first hurricane map
August 22, 2011- Irene moves by the Dominican Republic without weakening much
August 24, 2011- Irene moves through the Bahama's and a models show flooding rain potential
August 26, 2011- Irene approaches the Carolina coast 
August 27, 2011- Irene begins to move up the coast and Uxbridge floods
August 30, 2011- Irene wrap up 

Irene was my first my first major sto…

End of the Work Week Forecast

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Its Wednesday and one of the last weekends of summer is rapidly approaching.  Here is the latest for the next several days.  After the general forecast I will discuss the Atlantic tropics.  
General Overview High pressure remained in control today for more warm and beautiful weather.  Tomorrow the high is offshore and winds will increase out of the southwest ahead of a cold front. Monday dew points were around 50.  Tuesday they crept up to 55 and today they are around 60. Tomorrow we inch a few more degrees higher into the mid 60's, The good news is we stay dry during the daylight and evening hours Thursday.  Max temps are 85-90 across Southern New England. Heading to the beach?  Surf will be a bit higher tomorrow thanks to an increasing southwest wind.  Moderate rip currents are likely for the beaches north of Boston. These surf conditions will expand to the south for Friday.  Overnight Thursday into Friday the cold front sweeps through the region.  Isolated showers and thundersto…

Beautiful Wednesday Before Humid Weather Returns

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High pressure will remain in control tonight and tomorrow before pushing offshore on Thursday as a weak cold front approaches.  With that cold front comes a chance of showers and thunderstorms especially Friday PM.   Tomorrow will be warmer than today and Thursday will feature a return of the humidity.  Given that it is late August my eyes continue to be focused on tropical weather in the Atlantic.

General Overview
No doubt about it today was one of the top days of the year.  Low humidity, bright sunshine and max temps in the low 80's made for a comfortable day and a great afternoon to be outside.  So who is to blame for such wonderful weather?  High pressure centered over the Mid Atlantic is.  The source region for our air mass in a configuration like this is Southern Canada.
Tonight that high will begin to slide offshore a bit.  Our winds will remain out of the west tonight and tomorrow before taking on a southwest component tomorrow night (they were out of the northwest yesterda…

What's in a New England Hurricane- Part 2

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(This will take the place of the weekly weather take)

For part one see here.

The calendar reads August 22 and right on time the Atlantic Hurricane season has sprung to life.  Tropical Storm Fiona has weakened to a tropical depression but a new tropical depression has formed near the Cabo Verde Islands in the Eastern Atlantic.
 Tropical Depression Seven will become Tropical Storm Gaston and then become a Hurricane (and probably a major hurricane) but it should steer clear of land for a long time.  Way down the road, say 10-12 days it may make a turn east of Bermuda before approaching Newfoundland but this is a long way off.  We will have to watch the surf for Labor Day weekend at any rate.  This happens most years because August 20- October 20 is the peak of every season with September 10 as the peak of the peak.
Storms literally form anywhere in late August.  Here is a scatter plot of where storms in the North Atlantic and East Pacific have formed between August 21 and August 31
Now hi…