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Showing posts from September, 2016

Friday Night Forecast (on Thursday)

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Steady but welcome rain will spread northward overnight bringing beneficial rain to the region by morning. Rain will be off and on in spots before filling in later Friday afternoon.  This will continue into Saturday afternoon with temperatures generally in the upper 50's/low 60's.  Showers stick around through Sunday night to close out a wet weekend.

General Overview
The radar shows decent rains in the Baltimore-NYC region slowly advancing north.
High pressure in New England is keeping us dry at the moment.  That high will weaken slightly allowing the precipitation to reach New England tomorrow morning but it will not be strong until the high moves to the north and east towards Nova Scotia Friday afternoon.  Here is the current surface chart.
Here is the simulated radar for Friday 8 AM.  While it appears most of the rain is to our west and south some showers will be around in Southern New England.
This rain steadily increases and by Friday evening we will see a steady soaking r…

Overcast and Unsettled Through the Weekend

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A upper level 500 mb cut off low will contribute to gray skies, occasional drizzle and brisk northeast winds for Wednesday and Thursday.  A steadier rain is likely overnight Thursday into Friday.  Steady showers look likely all weekend.  Thanks to low level moisture max temperatures will be stuck in the low 60's.

Short Term Forecast
Currently it is overcast with temperatures in the 50's.  Expect some periods of drizzle or light showers today with temperatures struggling to hit 60 north of the MA Pike.
A front is stalled offshore which is allowing for onshore flow out of the Northeast.  This means the greatest chance of showers is closer to the coast but a few could work inland.
Overnight lows will be around 50 thanks to cloud cover and onshore flow keeping moisture around.  Lows will be in the mid 50's to near 60 along the coast.  Now for Thursday the weather is nearly identical to today although a hair warmer.  When I talk about a closed 500 mb low I am talking about ~18…

Frost Advisory Posted Monday AM

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The National Weather Service in Taunton has posted a Frost Advisory in the areas in Blue.
Overnight lows will drop into the mid 30's for interior Southern New England as dry air and clear skies allow temperatures to plummet.
Temperatures rebound into the low to mid 60's tomorrow with sunny skies and light winds.  High pressure is in control over New England.  A cold front will move the high offshore and bring some beneficial rain tomorrow night into Tuesday AM.
An upper level low will then develop in the mid levels of the atmosphere.  As a result there will be rain chances every day this system is present.  The low will be in hurry to move which is just what we need to help the drought in NewEngland.  We need this pattern to deliver. I'll post on this again soon but enjoy the crisp air tonight.

-Zack Green

Awesome First Day of Fall

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Fall begins at 1021 AM today.  Temperatures will cruise into the low to mid 80's with low dew points under sunny skies.  Winds will shift slightly to the south later today but they will be light.  Here are the max temperatures that will likely peak around 3-4 PM.
If you are headed to Gillette the tailgating weather looks outstanding.  By the time kick off rolls around temperatures are right near 70.  The wind will be not be a factor for the game tonight.  In fact for a New England night game the weather is perfect.

8 PM
Midnight
Temps are still in the low 60's at the end of the game.  Hopefully the Texans remember these slick letter man jackets from 2012 (42-14 #neverforget)
On Friday Canadian high pressure will drive a cold front through the region.   It looks like a first batch of rain will be possible north of the MA Pike tomorrow morning before a second area of showers/thunder develops in the evening south of the Pike.  Overall I am not expecting much rain at all outside o…

Summer Weather Until Saturday

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The Autumnal Equinox (first official day of fall) is this Thursday but we will have to wait until Saturday before the atmosphere recognizes the sun's return to the Southern Hemisphere.  A cold front stalled along the south coast will depart later today keeping everyone region wide in the low 80's with dew points in the 60's.  High pressure will be in control through Thursday before a cold front brings a chance of showers on Friday.  Crisp, cooler weather is in store for this weekend.

General Overview
Low level moisture is lingering this AM especially in areas that saw the most rain yesterday.  Fog has developed and will slow the commute in spots.  Most of the actual rain is south of New England but some showers are working onshore in SE MA/Cape Cod.
These showers will likely pull away by early this afternoon.  The showers are present along the stalled frontal boundary partly responsible for yesterday's rain.  Here is the 2 PM surface forecast and notice the showers are …

Dry Saturday, Wet Sunday-Monday

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High pressure keeps Southern New England dry today but a cold front approaching from the west will bring needed rainfall overnight tomorrow through Monday.  It looks like Southeast New England stays dry until tomorrow afternoon, including Foxboro for at least the 1st half.  Monday appears to be wet with a chance of embedded thunderstorms as the cold front passes.  Extreme drought is increasing across MA and NH so we will take whatever we can get.

General Overview
Here is the AM water vapor satellite loop.
Initial sun this morning will begin to give way to high clouds as the system continues to push east.  As it does a few showers and thunderstorms could interrupt the Florida State-Louisville game in Kentucky this afternoon.  Here's hoping for a thunder delay so I can watch the end of the game.  Back in SNE temperatures are firmly in the mid 70's today.
High clouds will begin to filter out the direct sunshine this afternoon.  As we approach the later parts of September the sun r…

Taste of Fall at the End of the Week

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Get the pumpkin coffee, pie, and beers ready!  I actually don't like any of those (won't say no to a Sam Octoberfest tho) but many do.  A cold front will push through New England tomorrow afternoon.  Behind the fropa (frontal passage) Canadian high pressure will build.  Nighttime temperatures will fall into the 40's while day times highs will be right near 70 for Thursday and Friday.  Before we get to that a few thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow.

General Overview
The past two days have been extremely pleasant.  We still need rain badly but it's just not in the cards.  Might as well enjoy the beautiful weather.  Temperatures will not fall much overnight.  Expect lows in the 60's.  Humidity levels will creep into the low 60's tomorrow which isn't too bad.  High temperatures tomorrow will reach into the low to mid 80's with a west wind.
Here is the forecast surface map at 2 PM tomorrow.
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK has noted a marginal t…

Warm Frontal Passage This Morning

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A warn front will lift north this morning bringing a brief downpour around 11 AM-Noon for South Central MA.   Behind this rain shower dew points are in the upper 60's and temperatures are in the mid to upper 80's.  Cloud cover should keep temps in the lower 80's in Central MA but any breaks of sun will feature a sharp uptick in temps.  Here is the 1004 AM radar image for Southern New England

Here is the surface map as of 8 AM which shows our warm front.
Future radar shows the showers entering Worcester County at 11 AM
And they are exiting by 12
Temperatures from 1-3 will be near 80 in Worcester County and Eastern MA but near 90 in Western MA and CT.  It will be steamy as 3 PM dew points are near 70.
Temperatures will spike in Southern Worcester County by 5 PM into the mid 80's.  Heat index at that hour will be in the low 90's.
Certainly not a terrible Saturday but the brief rain and humidity will make it uncomfortable at times.  A cold front will pass tomorrow AM t…