Posts

Showing posts from February, 2016

Winter Weather Advisory Posted for Light Snow Tuesday PM

Image
Update:
The winter weather advisory has expanded
The forecast below looks to be on track.  Snow begins around 5-6 PM in Massachusetts.  Probably a full school day for the teachers tomorrow.

Previous discussion below.

The National Weather Service in Taunton has posted a Winter Weather Advisory for Central and Western Massachusetts.  This may extend into Northern RI and CT as well as Middlesex and Essex counties in MA.  This runs from 4 PM Tuesday until Noon Wednesday. 
This is for snow, sleet and freezing rain.  Snow breaks out from SW to NE around 5-6 PM.  It gets into Worcester and Boston closer to 7
It transitions to freezing rain after midnight.  As for snow totals- the NAM hires is probably a little high - but in general 1-3 inches across Central and Western MA
Next there will be some ice on top of this
Yellow means icy spots expected while orange is widespread icing
This may get teachers a delay on Wednesday but I won't guarantee that.  It's not something that would be c…

Temps to Rebound After Arctic Blast Shatters Records

Image
There is a new leader in the clubhouse for the top spot on my coveted "Top Weather Events of 2016" blog.   While there is not much competition so far it will take a significant event (Hurricane or Tornado) to knock this off.
Some fun facts via NWS Boston
Nantucket fell below 0 for the first time since January 16, 2004 (also -3)Boston and Worcester each recorded lowest temperatures since 1957Because Boston fell to -4 before midnight it also set a new record low for Feb 13.  After going 49 years with a record low in February Boston has now set one on back to back days Wind chills reached -44 in Worcester (see list) Perhaps even more impressive is the fact that New York City broke a record that stood for 100 years 
 Just an aside- we cannot deny that record highs have outpaced record lows across the United States for the last few 2 decades.  December was the warmest December on record by a lot.  But we also can't ignore that the last 3 winter have seen cold that rivals some …

Savage Albeit Short Lived Arctic Assault

Image
While certainly not as exciting as a snowstorm the impending Arctic Assault is much more dangerous then any storm we have seen this winter.  The potential for harm to children and the elderly is much greater than even the snow storm last Friday that killed 2 people.  The good news is this will be a short battle with the cold.  Temperatures may be near 50 with whipping winds Tuesday afternoon.  A rare Wind Chill Warning is in effect from 4 PM Saturday to 12 PM Sunday for much of Southern New England.


Today is very cold but we can handle it. Temperatures do not begin to plummet until around noon tomorrow.  The surface map shows the Arctic boundary in the Northern Great Lakes/Southern Ontario One can see the boundary on the surface temperature chart
Today we stay in the upper teens with wind chills around 10.  Very cold no doubt.  When that boundary slides through tomorrow AM it will feel like a sucker punch to the jaw.  Here is the surface forecast (I've drawn in the boundary since …

Snow Squalls in the AM

Image
Good evening everyone.  We have some snow squalls on the way for tomorrow that will drop around an inch of snow for most people.  However in isolated areas up to 3-4" cannot be ruled out.  Lets review the last storm and talk about the squalls.

Here is the map of the yesterday's storm.  I was over by a few inches in most areas.  Totals were on the lower end of all scales.  At the end of the day the storm was 500 miles away and the locals factors failed to enhance the snow as much as I thought.  That said 4-10" from a storm 500 miles away is impressive.
3 years ago we were wrapping up one of the all time Southern New England blizzards.  The Blizzard of 2013 (or Nemo) was powerful and caused a lot of damage in SE MA due to coastal flooding and wind damage.
Just last year we also had a Category 1 snowstorm.  This one often gets forgotten but this was the storm that really began to bring the region to our knees.  The MBTA was dealt a death blow, areas roofs began to collapse …

Winter Storm Watches Posted for Southeast New England

Image
3 PM Update 
The National Weather Service in Taunton has increased their snowfall forecast.  This is much more in line with my thoughts from this AM when I held back just a bit.
Now most of the area is under Winter Storm Warnings or Blizzard Warnings
I don't have much more to add.  Timing, impacts are below. Traveling tomorrow will be difficult, especially south of Boston. 

Previous discussion below

For the second year in a row a winter storm will threaten Southern New England the day after the Super Bowl.  The storm last year was more of a direct hit and I don't think many people cared after this (video via NFL YouTube channel, have to watch on YouTube).  They really should be playing today I hope I win some money today.
The storm last year dropped a widespread 12-18".
I am not expecting a widespread 12-18.  That said if someone on the South Coast, Cape, or even Nantucket get a foot I would not be surprised.  As of now Winter Storm Watches are posted for much of SE New En…

Winter Storm Lexi Leaves Its Mark, More Snow?

Image
(Note- I will begin to use the Weather Channel winter storm names.  The National Weather Service's official position is opposition to these names.  However they are growing in popularity and I find them useful.)
Winter Storm Lexi arrived yesterday and left its mark on Southern New England.  Tragically a 6 year old girl from Canton died when a tree limb fell on her while playing outside.  May you rest in peace Kaleigh Kenyon.  Tree limbs also fell on power lines and left nearly 180,000 customers without power at the height of the storm.  In eastern MA there are still about 50K customers without power.  In Rhode Island it looks like there are approximately 10-15K still in the dark.
I don't have a snow total map yet but the highest total in MA was Worcester airport with 12.5".  In CT the big winner with 13" is Staffordville.  In Rhode Island Burrillville checked in with 12".  I am content with my snow map but I would have really nailed it if I made my 5-9" band…