We have to go back to Tuesday first. After strong criticism from some corners of the meteorology world about lots of hype but not a lot of tornadoes the National Weather Service has finished its storm surveys. They have found that 20 tornadoes formed during the event. Now they weren't the devastating long track tornadoes like the April 27, 2011 event so in some peoples minds it is a bust. But is it? I don't think so. Thursday featured some severe weather in North Carolina and the Texas panhandle (among other places)
|SPC 9 AM severe weather outlook for Thursday with actual storm reports|
Let's start with the temperatures. Seasonable temperatures in New England, summer like in the south and cold in the Rockies under the upper trough.
|NWS High temp forecasts Friday (image Weatherbell)|
Here is the upper air pattern for 2 PM. I've circled the 3 main players for national weather today
|12z NAM 500 mb vort valid 2 PM EST (Image NCEP)|
|SPC Day 1 severe weather outlook through Saturday 8 am|
|SPC Day 1 tornado outlook|
|13z HRRR National simulated radar 8 PM (image Weatherbell)|
|13z HRRR total snowfall through midnight (Image Weatherbell)|
Southern New England Forecast
Partly sunny skies today give way to showers in Western MA and CT this evening. After this passes we clear. High temps are near 60 before dropping to 40 overnight. Here is the 9 PM radar
|14z HRRR simulated radar 9 PM (image Weatherbell)|
Where I'd Like To Be Today
Myrtle Beach, SC. Sunny skies, a slight North wind with temperatures around 80. Water temperatures are running around 60-62 F but that's no problem for a Northern Boy.
On This Date
A borderline Category 4/5 cyclone made landfall in Bangladesh killing upwards of 200,000 people and causing over a $1 billion in damage. Bangladesh is extremely vulnerable to cyclones because of the shape of its coastline and the ocean floor leading to its coastline. The slope is gradual rather than steep so storm surge can really grow.
|Track of 1991 Cyclone|