Showing posts from June, 2017

Weekend Getaway- Bringing the Heat!

An upper atmosphere disturbance will rotate through Southern New England this afternoon which will fire off some showers and thunderstorms.  A coastal storm that largely missed Southern New England will drop a 0.5" of rain throughout much of Maine today.  Tomorrow a boundary will sag south into Central New England.  A few isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible because of this.  On Sunday temperatures will soar into the 90's.

The radar this morning shows some leftover rain showers across the Cape and Islands and heavy rain in Downeast Maine.  In Eastern New York, showers have developed to the west of the Hudson River Valley.  This is part of the upper atmosphere disturbance.
Precipitation will continue into the afternoon in Maine.  The rain across the Cape and Islands should come to an end by lunch time.  The showers in Eastern NY will move into Vermont, New Hampshire, and Western Massachusetts around noon.  The projected surface chart for 2 PM shows this s…

First Look at the Weekend

A close pass by a coastal storm will bring some rain to Southern New England on Friday.  An upper-level low will cross the region Friday PM which will bring with it a chance of showers.  A front will try to pass on Saturday, but it will be beaten back by a strengthening ridge in the SW Atlantic.  Temperatures Friday will remain below average but a warming trend will begin on Saturday.  Temperatures Sunday will be in the mid to upper 80's (isolated 90's).

The projected surface map Friday AM shows a trough over the Northeast and a coastal low just close enough to bring rain to the Cape and Islands.
Computer guidance has trended east with this system which is good news.  Some interaction with the upper atmosphere trough will likely enhance a band of rain in Central New England.  This may set up near Essex County.  Traditionally, these types of troughs are strongest where the coast has a concave enclave.  Southern ME and NH is a good example of this.
You can see the low to…

Truly Miserable Tuesday

Between 1 and 2 AM, Worcester Airport reached 50 F for the day.  If we can't get over 51 this afternoon Worcester will break a record for lowest maximum temperature for the date.  Our 3 other major climate sites will come close but ultimately will land a degree or two over the record low max.
The first batch of rain was delivered by a storm tracking south and east of Nantucket.  If we had the temperature anomalies we are seeing today in late January with this storm track we would be in business with a big time winter storm (or at least I would, snowstorms are big $$, thanks!).  Alas, it's June 6 so I apologize for even bringing up snow.
Although the low is moving out to sea, rain will return later this AM as the upper-level disturbance that has been squatting to our west for days will finally make its way into the Atlantic.   Here is the regional northeast radar as of 6 AM.
Showers are ending across most of Southern New England.  Light showers and drizzle will remain for the A…

Damp, Raw Conditions Today

Overnight rain will taper to drizzle and showers this afternoon.  Low pressure developing along a stalled frontal boundary south of New England will bring enhanced rainfall overnight Monday into Tuesday.  Some strong winds will be possible tonight across Coastal Southern New England and the entire region will be breezy tomorrow.  Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Tuesday evening before we return to drier weather on Wednesday.  Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool to begin the week.
General Overview A surface warm front is parked in the adjacent SNE coastal waters while a cold front stretches back into the Midwest.  A few waves of low pressure have popped up along this front. The regional radar shows rain exiting SNE, but also shows plenty of moisture to our south and west. There is a sharp temperature divide in the Northeast this AM.  New England temperatures are in the low 50's but in VA/MD/DE temps are near 70.   Short Range Forecast Steady rain will taper t…

New England Weekend Outlook 6/2-6/4/17

It's that time of year again when the Thursday PM commute starts to look like the Friday PM commute and the Friday PM commute just sucks.  If you have ever left the Boston area on a Friday in summertime you know exactly what I mean.  The silver lining is a lot of people are heading off to weekend getaway's so let's focus on the positive and give the forecast for the vacation regions of New England.  In this case, it's the destination that matters, not the journey.
Short Term Outlook An upper-air disturbance with a pocket of cold air will enable the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms across all of New England this afternoon.  The regional radar is showing some shower development in upstate NY and Northern New England. An upper-level trough will serve as the trigger for shower and thunderstorm development.  It is shown here in the projected 2 PM surface chart. The showers will pop around 1 PM in Southern New England and coverage will be regionwide until 7 …

Special Report- June 1, 2011 From A Meteorologist's Perspective

It has been 6 years since the devastating June 1, 2011, severe weather outbreak that left parts of the region in ruin.  The twister left a physical scar that can be seen in winter time, even years after the event.
The emotional scars run deeper as business and homeowners in the path of the twister are still struggling to rebuild and recover.  Three people lost their lives, many more were injured, and millions of dollars of damage was done from Westfield to Sturbridge.  This post will not focus on any of that.  Instead, this will be an account of the storm from a meteorologist's perspective as it happened.   We will start on May 30, 2011, to see how well this event was forecast and we will end on the evening of June 1, 2011.

May 30, 2011

330 AM
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, OK first highlighted the potential for severe weather on June 1, 2011, two days ahead of time when they put most of the northeast in a "slight" risk in their 3-day convective outlook.  A …