This is not a Recording

Stop me when you have heard this one before.  Sunday will be hot, humid with a chance of afternoon thunderstorms.  When it is not raining today it will feel over 100 for most of Southern New England.  Max temps will be in the mid 90's with dew points in the low 70's.  A weak surface front should provide enough lift to fire off strong/severe thunderstorms after 4 PM from west to east.

General Overview
Heat headlines are once again in place from 11 AM - 7 PM
NWS Boston Headlines
Yesterday's back door cold front has become a warm front and surged into Northern New England leaving all of Southern New England in the warm sector.
WPC Surface Analysis 5 AM
Here is what I am thinking for temps, dew points and heat index for the 5 major cities in SNE
Sunday August 14, 2016 forecast
Hartford broke its record of 98 yesterday with a high of 99.  I think come very close today.  Boston and Worcester appear to be safe but the other 3 could fall.  The other issue today is thunder.  I'm sure many woke up around 11 and again around 2 last night.  The storms provided beneficial rain but also caused some damage.  The MEMA power outage tracker shows over 2000 customers without power as of 835 AM but this has been dropping rapidly.  Here is the damage report map from yesterday in the Northeast.  W stands for wind, H for hail.  Click here for more details
SPC filtered damage reports Saturday August 13, 2016 
I'll have to evaluate all day but it looks like a line of showers/storms will develop around 2-3PM and work into Southeast New England around 4-5 PM.  Here is the 4 PM simulated radar
11z HRRR simulated radar 4 PM (image Weatherbell)
That line will slide south and east and will likely have frequent lightning, heavy rain and gusty winds.  I'll be on it as the day progresses.  After this line clears through (say 530-6 PM) it should be dry for the rest of the evening.

-Zack Green


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