Cold and Rainy Friday on Tap

A drenching rain is on the way for most of Southern New England.  Temperatures will struggle to break 40 and for the Berkshires and Northern Worcester County you very well may have to deal with snow and ice.

Current Conditions/Observations
There is a Winter Weather Advisory in effect for some
NWS Boston Advisories 
Our storm is making its way east this morning.  Here is the surface chart
WPC surface analysis 330 am
On the water vapor loop it looks like this
GOES_E water vapor satellite 515 am (NHC)
Look at the national temperatures.  One can clearly see the warm sector in this analysis
National 2 m temps 5 am (image weatherbell)
There are 3 tornado watches in NC and VA this morning.  Here are the temperatures in New England
2 m temperatures 5 am (image weatherbell)
The radar in New England is quiet for now
NWS Boston radar 540 am
This should continue until 10 am or so.  There could be a spot shower here or there but the main action will arrive mid morning.  Here is the regional Northeast radar
NWS Northeast Regional Radar 528 am

Short Range Forecast
The NAM hires has done well with its short range radar simulations.  Here the projected radar image at 1 PM
06z NAM hires simulated radar (image weatherbell)
Temperatures at the same time?
09z RAP 2 m temps 1 PM (image weatherbell)
Sleet and snow, or freezing rain may be falling in the advisory areas.  I am not sure if this will verify, but the NAM hires likes a narrow band of 6+ inch snow in Northern Worcester County.  Hell even a few flakes/sleet pellets will mix in Southern Worcester County and Northwest Middlesex County
06z NAM hires snow accum (image weatherbell)
In terms of total precipitation here is what we are looking at
2 day precipitation forecast (WPC)
Winds will be gusty this afternoon.  I expect wind gusts 25-40 mph
09z RAP mslp surface wind gust (image weatherbell)
So to sum up Friday
  • Heavy rain after 10 am, ends by 8 pm
  • Cold, high temperatures 37-43
  • Windy, gusts 25-40 MPH
  • Awful
  • Should be able to get the Sox game in, but it won't be fun
Weekend Outlook
After a dreary start to Saturday skies start to clear around 9-10 am.  It will not be warm, but it will feel alright after today's chill
00z EURO 2 m max temps Saturday (image weatherbell)
Low to mid 50's Boston to Worcester to Springfield south and east.  Upper 40's to the north and west of this line.  No worries with precipitation during the daylight hours.  Sunday is brighter with similar temperatures.  Patriots Day also looks nice.   Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 50's.  More tomorrow, enjoy the rain...lawns do need it.


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