Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Happy Summer Solstice; Tomorrow's weather, PLUS Summer preview

Today is the first official day of summer.  It started at 5:17 PM and today will be the most sunshine we get in a single day all year.  The sun is at its highest position in the sky today outside of the tropics.  The tropics spread from the Tropic of Cancer in the Northern Hemisphere to the Tropic of Capricorn in the Southern Hemisphere.  What makes the summer solstice is the day in which the Earth's axial tilt is greatest towards the sun. 

 So what's the summer looking like?  Unsettled, I would say is the best guess.  I do not believe the summer will be a nice as 2010, but I believe it will be better than the waterlogged 2009 summer.  The long range forecast is pointing towards a substantial warm up for early July, but I don't expect that to be the norm.  There may be stretches where showers and thunderstorm's are possible everyday.  Does that mean you see one everyday? No it doesn't and even you do it won't be an all day affair.  Overall an average New England summer is in the cards.  Severe weather is something I am concerned about this summer.  Hail and wind damage from thunderstorms will be likely and a threat for tornadoes will exist during some of these events.  Come August and September the tropics will be heating up and as those of you who have been following this blog know I expect significant East Coast impacts from Hurricanes this season.

Now onto tomorrow's forecast.  Tonight temperatures drop into the upper 50's and low 60's.  Stepping out tomorrow morning expect a mix of sun and clouds, quickly moving to mostly cloudy conditions.  Highs will be in the mid to upper 70's.  The rain threat is greatest in southwestern New England.  Increasing chances of a shower later in the day and the drive home will feature hit or miss showers.   By tomorrow night the weather turns dreary for summer.  Up to a half inch of rain may fall overnight Wednesday and another half inch may fall on Thursday.  Also thunderstorm's are much more likely Thursday and rain chances soar to near 70%.  Bank on a washout and highs to struggle to reach 70 for most of Massachusetts.  It will be warmer in southwestern New England highs should reach 75.  

It warms up Friday but a stalled frontal boundary will keep the weather unsettled going into the weekend.  Things are looking better for Sunday but I'll keep an eye on the forecast.   If anyone would like a personalized vacation forecast at any point please give me a week or so head's up.

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