Mother's Day Gift Is On Back Order

Low pressure off the New England coast will send backlash rains and winds across Eastern New England this afternoon through the night and into Monday.  The rain will end midday tomorrow and my Mother's Day gift to all will be a return of warm weather Tuesday.  I tried to have it sent for today but Mother Nature does what she wants when she wants (like a good woman should).  I'm pretty sure my own beautiful mother does not read my blog so she won't know her gift is on back order and I'd appreciate if no one told her.  She doesn't like to be "on the internet" anyway.

General Overview
Temperatures as of 11 AM were in the 50's in SE MA but 40's everywhere else.
RTMA 2 m temps 11 AM (image Weatherbell)
Look what happened in the higher elevations of Vermont this morning.  This is shades of 1977 (perhaps we can thank climate change for missing out on this snow).
Meteorologist Tyler Jankoski via twitter
I saw the potential for a few flakes when looking over the data yesterday, but nothing I saw indicated that a plowable snowfall was likely or imminent.  Our neighbors in northern New England woke up like this.

Here is the northeast regional radar as of 1148 AM.  The precipitation in Southern New England is tapering off at the moment.
NWS Northeast Regional Radar Loop 1148 AM
Over the past 48 hours, a general 1-2" of rain has fallen across Southern New England.
NWS Precipitation Analysis 5/12 11 AM to 5/14 11 AM
This low is in no rush to leave the area.  At 2 PM it will still be sitting and spinning off the Cape.
WPC Surface Fronts/Precipitation Sunday 2 PM
Sunday PM- Monday AM Outlook
Temperatures this afternoon will struggle to get into the low 50's.  Most communities will max in the upper 40's away from SE MA.
NWS Maximum Temperatures Sunday (image Weatherbell)
A break in the steady rain is expected over the next 1-3 hours before rain fills back in across Southeastern New England.  Here is the 18-hour simulated radar GIF through 4 AM Monday.
14z HRRR Simulated Radar through Monday 4 AM (image Weatherbell)
Some thunder and small graupel will be possible in Western MA/CT later this afternoon.  It's sunny in CT but that won't be able to make it to Worcester County thanks to easterly flow off the ocean keeping clouds and drizzle around.  The ocean storm will also stall, which keeps this rain shield around through midday Monday.
WPC Surface Fronts/Precipitation Monday 2 AM 
Temperatures tonight will stay in the mid-40s.   NE winds will gust 20-40 MPH, with the strongest gusts at the coast.  

Monday PM-Tuesday
The low will move out Monday afternoon.  Drying behind the front with some breaks of sun and strong NW winds will set the stage for a warm up.  Monday max temperatures are expected to be in the low to Mid-60's.
NWS Maximum Temperatures Monday (image Weatherbell)
By Monday night our storm is in the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure will build from the Ohio Valley.
WPC Surface Fronts/Precipitation Monday 8 PM
Low temperatures will be in the upper 40's Monday night.  A subtropical high will begin to build in the SW Atlantic on Tuesday.  We will see dry weather with max temperatures in the 70's.
NWS Maximum Temperatures Tuesday (image Weatherbell)
Extended Range
Max temperatures on Wednesday will be in the low 80's.
NWS Maximum Temperatures Wednesday (image Weatherbell)
Thursday can I get a 90?
NWS Maximum Temperatures Thursday (image Weatherbell)
Let's GO!!!

-Zack Green


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