Monday Morning Update

Skies will be mostly cloudy today with a chance of snow/rain showers as a systems passes well to the south of New England.  Temperatures will slowly creep toward 50 this week and Easter is still looking pretty nice. I'm cautiously optimistic that there will be no more snow.  My forecast for April, May, and Hurricane Season can be found here.  

Current Conditions/Observations
Here is the current surface chart
WPC surface analysis 330 am EST
The Northeast Regional Radar is active this morning
NWS NE regional radar 430 am
On the water vapor satellite this is what it looks like this morning
GOES_East Water Vapor Satellite 345 am
The general movement with this system is west to east.  It will not gain much latitude.  The reason is the Jet Stream.  Here it is at 250 mb
06z NAM 250 mb Jet
A ridge remains in the southwest while below normal cold continues east of the Rockies.  Here is a snapshot of temperatures across the United States
CONUS 2 m temps 4 am (image weatherbell)
Short Term Forecast
Today will not be a great day.  It will often be gray and pockets of drizzle may develop, especially south of the Pike.  Later this afternoon/this evening the South Coast of New England will pick up some rain.  I do think this stays south of Providence.  Total rainfall expected today
WPC 1 day precip totals
A batch of heavier precipitation lurks just offshore, but for once Southern New England dodges a bullet.  Temperatures will be in the lower to mid 40's.
06z NAM hires 2 m temps valid 3 PM (image weatherbell)
I think this is the last precipitation threat for awhile.  Overnight lows drop to the upper 20's tonight.  Tuesday will be a pleasant day.  It will be like Sunday with light winds, mostly sunny skies, and temps in the upper 40's.  Winds increase a bit on Wednesday and skies will be partly cloudy.  Temps in the mid 40's in Eastern Mass, low 40's elsewhere.  There may be some isolated showers on Thursday
00z EURO Thursday 2 PM
It looks light so NBD.  The Mountains of Northern New England should pick up some snow this week.   Here is the 10 day EURO snow totals
00z EURO total snowfall 240 hours (image weatherbell)
And that's a good place for it.  I see some warmer temperatures in the mid 50's this weekend.  Here is Easter
00z EURO 168 hr 2 m temps (image weatherbell)
This is the max for Easter afternoon.  That looks mid 50's for a lot of SNE.  That's all for this morning, have a good day.










 

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