Quiet Week Ahead

One cold front will pass through the region on Wednesday bringing a chance of light showers.  Other than that the weather looks fine with temperatures generally below average at night and above average during the day.  Looking ahead there appears to be a pattern flip coming mid month.

General Overview
A massive storm in the Gulf of Alaska is bringing wind/rain/snow to the Pacific Northwest.  A cut off upper level storm will bring some rain to the Four Corners region while there are some rain/snow showers in Northern New England.  For early November its a pretty quiet weather map.
NOAA GOES-Composite IR satellite (image NCEP/NWS/NOAA)
Yesterday's cold front has dropped temperatures well below average this AM in all of the Eastern US.  In Southern New England we woke up to temperatures in the upper 20's/low 30's.
8 am temperatures (Image Weatherbell)
Max temps will rebound into the 50's this afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds.  Winds will be light and out of the west at around 5 MPH.
NWS Max temps Saturday (image Weatherbell)
Can't rule out a sprinkle this afternoon or a flurry tonight as one upper atmosphere disturbance passes through the region re-enforcing cold air for Sunday night.  Cloud cover will keep overnight lows in the upper 30'/low 40's tonight.  There could be some coastal ocean effect showers tonight but nothing serious.

Sunday-Wednesday Forecast
High pressure takes control Sunday.  Max temps will be near 50 with mostly sunny skies.  Any AM clouds will be gone late morning.  Winds are 5-10 MPH out of the north.
WPC Surface Fronts/Precipitation Sunday 8 PM
Monday looks similar to tomorrow with only a slight north wind (1-3 MPH).  Tuesday will see temperatures in the low 60's as a cold front moves in from the west and our wind becomes more southerly.  A light shower is possible Tuesday PM/Wednesday AM with this front but there won't be much precipitation with this.  We have seen drought improvement over the last few weeks.  Here is the drought monitor from 2 weeks ago for the Northeast.
October 18, 2016 Drought Monitor
And this week's
November 1, 2016 Drought Monitor 

SE MA (including S Worcester County), E CT and RI have all made great strides thanks to the recent rains.  This is short term relief but it will take many months to completely recover from the 2015-16 drought.  The winter will be a good time to take another good chunk out of this drought as there are signs 2017 could be dry as well.   Enjoy the average to above average temps because it won't last.  I don't foresee a repeat of November-December 2015 (blowtorch).  I'll be starting a winter preview tomorrow.

-Zack Green


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