Sunday, November 27, 2016

Periods of Rain and Wind Midweek

Dry late fall weather is in place this afternoon through Monday evening as high pressure is in control.  A active jet stream will bring two rounds of rain Tuesday afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning.   Southern New England will be on the warm side of this storm that is loaded with moisture.  Total precipitation from both events will exceed 2-3" in some spots.

General Overview
Much of Southeastern New England is cloud free but clouds are filling in from NW to SE across Worcester County.
NOAA GOES_East Visible satellite 1245 PM 
 High pressure is in control for the entire Eastern US.  The next weather maker is still out in Colorado.
WPC Surface Analysis Sunday 10 AM 
The clouds will dissipate tonight and the winds will relax allowing for cold Canadian air to mix in.  Lows will be in the mid 20's inland to near 32 in the cities.
NWS minimum temperatures Sunday night into Monday (Image Weatherbell)
Pleasant weather is on tap for Monday.  High pressure remains in control.  Our next weather maker has now moved towards the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes.
WPC Surface Fronts/Precipitation Monday 8 AM
Temperatures tomorrow are 3-5 degrees below average with max temps in the low 40's.  Winds will be out of the west at 3-7 MPH.
NWS Maximum Temperatures Monday (image Weatherbell)
Midweek Outlook
A warm front will lift through the region on Tuesday bringing the first batch of precipitation with it.   The warm air will likely be delayed into the region until Tuesday night into Wednesday.  Precipitation is expected to start around 9-11 AM although I'll have to watch that start time as some guidance moves the precipitation into the region earlier.    Here is the simulated radar for Tuesday 1 PM.
12z NAM Hires simulated radar Tuesday 1 PM (image Weatherbell)
It will feel raw on Tuesday with max temps in the mid to upper 40's.   This batch of rain will exit Tuesday night.  Wednesday AM actually looks pretty good before a coastal low forms and brings more precipitation to SNE Wednesday PM into Thursday AM.   Skies begin to clear Thursday before noon time.  Max temps will be near 50.

More on the rain as we get closer to the event.

Have a great Sunday.

-Zack Green

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