Pre Storm Observations

Good Morning.  Light snow is arriving in Southern New England as of 530 am.  Heavy snow, rain, sleet, ice, and wind will impact the region through early Friday morning.  Winter Storm Warnings have been extended into Essex and Suffolk Counties.
02/13/14 NWS Boston Headlines
Wind Advisories exist for the east coast of MA from the Cape up to Gloucester.  

Overview
First things first the current temps are in the 20's in SE MA, RI, and CT.  Temps are in the teens for the rest of MA and single digits in Central/Northern New England
4 am 2 m temperatures (image Weatherbell)
High pressure has scooted east into the Atlantic but as you can see there is impressive cold that remains.  Our storm is deepening already off the Carolina coast.  Here is the surface chart
WPC 4 am Surface Analysis 
Here is an awesome satellite shot of the East Coast.  This is the Water Vapor satellite 
NOAA GOES_East Water Vapor Satellite 515 am
Here is the radar this morning.  DC has 6" of snow already and it is still snowing there.  They will eventually change over to rain
NWS Northeast Regional Radar 538 am
It will not take long for the snow to become steady and it will accumulate rapidly.  Most of the snow South of the Pike and Inside 495 falls between 7 am - 5 pm.  Here is the 4 PM simulated radar
06z NAM hires 4 PM Simulated Radar (image Weatherbell)
It is raining from Boston-Providence-Hartford South and East.  Ice will be an issue near the Pike and 495 so communities like Marlboro, Northbridge, Lowell etc will likely see 6-10 inches of heavy wet snow and then a layer of sleet/ice on top.  

Winds will also increase this afternoon. With heavy wet snow and some ice accumulation there is a moderate chance for power outages.  The WPC expects 1.5-2.0" of precipitation to fall over the next 48 hours
WPC 2 day precipitation outlook
Overnight tonight a final band of snow will work SW to NE across Southern New England.  The low will be in the Gulf of Maine and with a sub 980 pressure 
WPC Surface Forecast 7 am Fri
So my final snow forecast is
SNE Snow Forecast 02/13/14
Questions, comments, complaints can be sent to twitter @zgreenwx or facebook if we are friends.

-Zack Green









Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Saturday Weather Thoughts

Winter Storm Stella Set To Deliver Blow To Region

You Didn't Really Think Winter Was Over, Did You?