Moderate Rainfall Friday Night-Saturday

Hopefully everyone has a chance to enjoy the great weather today.  Rain will move into the region overnight leaving Saturday unsettled.  Sunday will be overcast with isolated showers.  Skies will begin to clear Sunday afternoon/evening and high pressure builds in for early next week.  I posted the other day about the potential for a rainy pattern to set up.  I still like that set up for the end of next week/next weekend.

Current Conditions 
Temperatures have climbed into the low 60s this afternoon away from the coast. The winds have also relaxed which is very welcome after yesterday
2 PM 2 m temperatures (image Weatherbell)
High pressure has slid offshore and will continue to move east this afternoon.  Tonight/tomorrows rain is driven by low pressure in the Great Lakes
WPC Surface Analysis 2 PM EST
Here is the upper level support for the systems
18z NAM 500 mb vorticity 2 PM Fri (image NCEP)
The Northeast radar shows this progressing nicely to the northeast
NWS Northeast Regional Radar 328 PM
There is a tornado watch for North Carolina and Virginia.  Southern New England will stay out of the severe weather but a few embedded thunderstorms are possible tonight and tomorrow.

Forecast
Light rain reaches SW New England by Midnight.  Steady rain overspreads Southern New England between 2-4 am.  Temperatures drop into the 40s tonight and will stay in the 40s tomorrow.  Warmer air will try to work into SW New England tomorrow afternoon and it could reach the CT River.  

Total rainfall?  Looks like generally 0.75-1.25" with locally higher/lesser amounts.  
WPC day 1-2 precipitation totals
Saturday night is cool, with temperatures falling into the 30s.  On Sunday there will be leftover showers.  Temperatures climb into the low 50s.  Strong Canadian high pressure will protect the region from storms for the beginning of next week.  Have a good weekend.

-Zack Green




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