Rounds of Rain This Weekend

Despite a snow pack that seemed to last forever this weekend, there are some pockets of the Northeast that could use a little rain.  The problem was worse after the dry fall and it has recovered nicely in the last 3 months.  This is where we were on New Years Eve
US Drought Monitor 12/31/2013
Here is where we are as of Monday (3/25)
US Drought Monitor 03/25/2014
Now we are looking at excessive rain over the next several days.  Two rounds of heavy are rain will move across Southern New England over the weekend, specifically Friday and Saturday night.  

Short Term Forecast
Temperatures are not going to drop much overnight so tomorrow morning will be warmer than the last few.  Temperatures will generally be in the mid 30's.  North and West of Worcester will see temps hovering at or below freezing.  So light rain will be falling in this region at the same time so the National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory (in blue)
NWS Boston Headlines 
A warm front will get rid of the cold air and temperatures tomorrow will rise into the 50's.  Rain will break out again in the afternoon as a cold front approaches the coast
WPC Surface Forecast 2 PM Friday
Expecting rain in Western New England in early afternoon and moving in Southeastern New England mid to late afternoon. 0.25 to 0.5 inch of rain possible tomorrow.  It will end around midnight.  A 12-18 hour dry slot will occur on Saturday.  Some showers will develop mid to late morning but steady rain should hold off until Mid Afternoon on Saturday.  Here is one computer model (not a forecast, just a general idea) at 8 PM Saturday
18z NAM hires simulated radar 8 pm Sat (image weatherbell)
Temperatures are in the mid 30's at the same time.  Computer guidance suggests 3-4+" of rain is possible by Monday.  That means flooding is possible.  I'll keep you informed.  Here is the WPC 5 day rainfall totals
WPC 5 Day QPF forecast
Have a good evening.

-Zack Green


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